I have to determine which kind of natural selection is most likely to begin speciation out of stabalizing, directional and disruptive. I would think Directional, since it favors one extreme which could eventually break away from the norm to the point a new species is formed. I think directional however could also create a new species. Which do you think is more likely to lead to speciation?

Determining which kind of natural selection is more likely to lead to speciation can be a complex task, as there are several factors that can influence the process. However, I can provide you with some insights into each type of natural selection and their potential impact on speciation.

1. Stabilizing Selection: This type of natural selection favors the average phenotype in a population and reduces genetic variation. It occurs when the environment remains relatively constant, and individuals with extreme phenotypes are less successful in surviving and reproducing. Stabilizing selection tends to maintain the existing phenotypic traits within a population rather than inducing speciation. Therefore, it is less likely to directly lead to the formation of a new species.

2. Directional Selection: Directional selection occurs when environmental conditions change or when a population migrates to a new habitat with different selective pressures. It favors individuals at one extreme of the phenotypic range and leads to a shift in the distribution of traits over time. In some cases, directional selection can facilitate the emergence of new features or adaptations, potentially leading to the formation of a new species. This is because the new traits selected for can gradually accumulate, diverging from the ancestral type and eventually resulting in reproductive isolation.

3. Disruptive Selection: Disruptive selection occurs when individuals with extreme phenotypes at both ends of the spectrum are favored over intermediate phenotypes. In this scenario, the intermediate phenotype faces reduced fitness compared to individuals at either extreme. Disruptive selection can lead to divergent evolution, where different subpopulations specialize in different ecological niches, potentially resulting in the formation of new species. This occurs as reproductive isolation increases between groups that occupy different environments or engage in different behaviors.

Considering the above, both directional and disruptive selection have the potential to initiate speciation processes. However, disruptive selection may have a comparably higher likelihood of leading to speciation since it promotes the divergence of distinct phenotypes and potentially results in the formation of new species.

It's important to note that while certain types of natural selection may provide favorable conditions for speciation, other factors such as geographic isolation, genetic drift, and reproductive barriers also play significant roles in the evolution of new species. Therefore, it is often a combination of several factors rather than a single type of natural selection that contributes to the speciation process.

yes, directional can lead to speciation. See the Peripatric example here:

http://www.jiskha.com/display.cgi?id=1301694935

Yes, speciation can lead to new species, especially if cross mating is stopped.

But the bottom line, all can lead to specialition over time.