Think about what you have learned so far regarding correlations and causation. How does causation depend on correlation? Does a correlation mean there is a causation?

Create and share a real-world scenario involving a correlation of an event and describe if there is a causation which goes with it. After you have created and shared your own scenario, read scenarios from two classmates and explain if each has a correlation and causation.

Causation and correlation are often mistaken for each other, but they are not the same thing. Correlation refers to a relationship between two variables, while causation refers to a situation where changes in one variable directly result in changes in another variable. It is important to note that just because two variables are correlated does not mean that one causes the other.

For example, let's consider a real-world scenario involving the correlation of ice cream sales and drownings. In the summer, there is a positive correlation between ice cream sales and drownings, as both tend to increase during hot weather. However, this correlation does not imply causation - eating ice cream does not directly cause drownings.

Now, let's analyze scenarios from two classmates:

Classmate 1: Tim notices that whenever he uses an umbrella, it rains. Therefore, he concludes that using an umbrella causes rain.
Analysis: There may be a correlation between Tim using an umbrella and rain, but it is unlikely that using an umbrella causes rain. This scenario does not demonstrate causation.

Classmate 2: Sarah studies and finds that people who exercise regularly tend to have lower stress levels.
Analysis: There is a correlation between regular exercise and lower stress levels, but it is more plausible that regular exercise reduces stress levels rather than the other way around. This scenario demonstrates a potential causation.

In conclusion, while correlation can provide valuable insights into relationships between variables, it is important to be cautious about assuming causation based solely on correlation. It is essential to consider other factors and conduct further research to determine if a causal relationship exists.