Which scenario would most likely result in the extinction of one or more species?

The water temperature of a pond decreases slightly, and the members of the pond populations adapt to the change.
The conditions are abnormally dry for one season in a desert, resulting in the deaths of a few members of a snake population.
A predatory fish is introduced into a lake, resulting in a dramatic decrease in the populations of smaller fish.
A new plant species begins growing in a forest, resulting in a new food resource for many animal populations.

A predatory fish being introduced into a lake, resulting in a dramatic decrease in the populations of smaller fish, would most likely result in the extinction of one or more species. This is because the introduction of a predator can disrupt the balance of the ecosystem and cause a ripple effect up the food chain, potentially leading to the extinction of species that relied on the smaller fish for food or other resources.