In 1989, the Detroit Free Press and Detroit Daily News (the only daily

newspapers in the city) obtained permission to merge under a special
exemption from the antitrust laws. The merged firm continued to
publish the two newspapers but was operated as a single entity.
a. Before the merger, each of the separate newspapers was losing about
$10 million per year. What forecast would you make for the merged
firms’ profits? Explain.
b. Before the merger, each newspaper cut advertising rates substantially.
What explanation might there be for such a strategy? After the
merger, what prediction would you make about advertising rates?

a. To make a forecast for the merged firm's profits, we would need to consider the reasons behind the individual newspapers' losses and how the merger might impact their financial situation.

Here are some factors to consider:
1. Cost savings: By merging, the newspapers can reduce duplication of resources and potentially achieve cost savings in areas such as printing, distribution, and administration. This could help improve their overall financial performance.
2. Economies of scale: The merged entity may be able to leverage economies of scale, such as bulk purchasing and shared services, which could lead to cost reductions and efficiency improvements.
3. Market conditions: Assessing the demand for newspapers in Detroit and analyzing the competitive landscape is important. If the market is declining or highly competitive, it might impact the merged firm's profitability.
4. Synergies: The merger could enable cross-selling opportunities, like bundled subscriptions or joint advertising packages, which could potentially boost revenues and profits.
5. Operational efficiency: The merger might eliminate redundant operations and streamline processes, leading to improved operational efficiency and profitability.

Taking all these factors into account, it is reasonable to expect that the merged firm's profits may improve compared to the individual newspapers' losses. However, the specific forecast would depend on detailed financial analysis and market research.

b. The strategy of cutting advertising rates before the merger might have been a tactic to attract more advertisers and increase revenue in a challenging market environment. By offering lower rates than their competitors, the newspapers may have aimed to capture a larger share of the advertising market.

After the merger, the prediction for advertising rates would depend on various factors:
1. Market dominance: If the merged firm becomes the dominant player in the Detroit newspaper market, it might have more leverage to maintain or increase advertising rates.
2. Competition: If there is still significant competition or alternative advertising channels exist, the merged firm might need to be cautious about raising rates too much to avoid driving advertisers away.
3. Value proposition: The merged firm would need to demonstrate the value and reach they can provide to advertisers as a result of the merger. This could influence the decision to either maintain lower rates or potentially increase them.

Ultimately, the prediction for advertising rates would require a thorough analysis of market conditions, competition, and the merged firm's positioning and value proposition in the advertising market.