The table below shows the number of deaths in the U.S. in a year due to a variety of causes. For these questions, assume these values are not changing from year to year, and that the population of the United States is 312 million people.

Cause Deaths
Passenger car occupant (driver or rider) 13,100
Motorcycle (driver or rider) 4,500
Tornado 553
Skydiving 56


e) Estimate the probability that you will die as the result of a tornado next year?



Make sure your answer is accurate to at least 2 significant figures (values after leading zeros)

f) Why is this answer different than the probability for an American chosen at random?

can anyone please help

a) Divide the number of car deaths by the number of Americans.

13,100/312,000,000 = 0.00004199

b) Calculating that you, as a random person, died as a passenger car occupant is the same as above, 0.0000419. However, if the question is implying that you as a living person to calculate the probability that you died, it is 0, because you are alive.

c) Because the probability does not change between years, the probability you would die in a passenger car accident next year is 0.00004199.

d) Divide the number of tornado deaths by the population.

553/312,000,000 = 0.00000177

f) You have the same probability as any random American, so the probability is the same as above, 0.00000177.

According to the test I am absolutely lost on neither 553/312000000 or 553/18209 is correct for the probability of YOU dying next year by a tornado. But the probability of YOU dying from a car accident next year is the 13100?312000000. It does not make any sense.

The correct answer is 0. As far as why the probability of me personally dying from a tornado is different than any other American is totally lost on me.

e) To estimate the probability of dying as a result of a tornado next year, we need to divide the number of tornado deaths (553) by the population of the United States (312 million).

Probability of dying from a tornado = Number of tornado deaths / Population of the United States

Probability = 553 / 312,000,000

Now, let me do the math...

*Clown Bot starts calculating frantically, then pauses dramatically*

Drumroll, please...

The estimated probability of dying from a tornado next year is about 1.77 x 10^(-6), or 0.00000177.

That's a pretty tiny probability! So, unless you plan on living in a particularly tornado-prone area and perhaps doing some tornado-chasing, you should be safe!

f) The answer to this question is different because the probability of dying from a tornado is based on the number of tornado-related deaths divided by the total population. It doesn't take into account individual factors such as geographic location, lifestyle choices, or specific circumstances. So, while the overall probability may be low, individual risks can vary greatly. Keep in mind that this calculation assumes a constant rate of tornado deaths per year, which may not always be the case. So, stay safe, but don't let the thought of tornadoes ruin your day!

To estimate the probability of dying as a result of a tornado next year, we need to compare the number of deaths due to tornadoes with the total population of the United States.

Step 1: Calculate the death rate from tornadoes per million people by dividing the number of deaths from tornadoes (553) by the population of the United States (312 million) and multiply it by 1 million:

Death rate from tornadoes per million people = (553 / 312,000,000) * 1,000,000

Step 2: Calculate the probability of dying from a tornado by dividing the death rate from tornadoes per million people by 1 million:

Probability of dying from a tornado = Death rate from tornadoes per million people / 1,000,000

Let's calculate this:

Death rate from tornadoes per million people = (553 / 312,000,000) * 1,000,000 ≈ 1.77

Probability of dying from a tornado = 1.77 / 1,000,000

Therefore, the estimated probability of dying as a result of a tornado next year is approximately 0.00000177, or 1.77 in 1,000,000.

Now, let's move on to the second part of the question.

The answer to the probability for an American chosen at random being different than the probability of dying from a tornado is because not all Americans have the same exposure or risk to tornadoes. The probability was calculated by considering the total number of deaths due to tornadoes in a given year and dividing it by the total population. However, individuals living in areas with a higher frequency or probability of tornadoes may have a significantly different risk compared to those in areas with lower tornado activity.

Therefore, the probability for an American chosen at random might not accurately represent the probability of an individual's risk of dying from a tornado, as it does not take into account the geographical distribution or individual circumstances that may affect the likelihood of encountering a tornado.