1. She won't come to Chicago. [won't is stressed]

2. She won't come to Chicago.
3. She is not willing to come to Chicago.
4. Probably she may not come to Chicago.
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In #1, won't is stressed. In this case, does #1 mean #3?
What about in #2? When won't is not stressed strongly, does #2 mean #4?
Based on the accent, do you distinguish the meanings?

Yes, 1 and 3 have the same emphatic meaning.

2 is a fact, but without the emphasis, it's just a fact! Nothing emotional!

4 is a possibility, but not a fact.