this is a difficult question, its a critical question but i don't kno wat to write really
The title of this article is called Population Growth in Kenya.
Develop and defend a hypothesis about how many people might live in Kenya 100 years from now. What factors should you take into account? What are some factors that might make the figure higher or lower?
First, I suggest you read these sources, using the first one primarily for its statistics.
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/ke.html
http://www.indexmundi.com/kenya/population_growth_rate.html
http://www.populstat.info/Africa/kenyac.htm
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/worldbalance/campaigns.html
http://www.prb.org/Articles/2008/kenya.aspx
Birth and death rates are generally high in poor countries with low literacy rates. Do you think Kenya will be among the developed countries in 100 years? Why?
As health services increase, so does the amount of people. But you'll have to research to see if Kenya is getting more hospitals in isolated locations, or if their current ones are getting shut down because of lack of funds. Maybe search for "healthcare system in Kenya" to see how it has changed, and how it will most likely change. But keep in mind, regardless the amount of hospitals or doctors offices, Kenya's AIDS rate is increasing, which means a sizable portion of its population is getting killed type into a search engine "Kenya's AIDS rate" and you'll get an idea for how it is affecting their population. From there, you can make your hypothesis.
To develop and defend a hypothesis about the population of Kenya in 100 years, it is important to consider various factors that can influence population growth. While it is challenging to predict an exact figure, we can make an informed hypothesis based on the available data and key influencing factors.
1. Current Population: Start by considering the current population of Kenya. According to the World Bank, as of 2021, Kenya has a population of approximately 54 million people.
2. Birth and Death Rates: Analyze the birth and death rates in Kenya. A higher birth rate relative to the death rate can contribute to population growth. Factors influencing birth and death rates include healthcare facilities, sanitation, and access to education.
3. Fertility Rates: Investigate the fertility rates among Kenyan women. Higher fertility rates typically lead to more significant population growth. Factors such as cultural norms, family planning services, and women's empowerment can influence fertility rates.
4. Migration: Take into account both internal and international migration patterns. Immigration may contribute to population growth, while emigration can reduce the population. Factors such as economic opportunities, political stability, and climate change can influence migration rates.
5. Urbanization: Consider the rate of urbanization in Kenya. Urban areas tend to attract more people, leading to increased population density. Factors such as job opportunities, infrastructure development, and access to basic amenities can affect urbanization rates.
Factors that might make the population figure higher include improvements in healthcare, reduced infant mortality rates, increased economic opportunities, and urbanization. On the other hand, factors that might make the figure lower include lower fertility rates, improved access to family planning services, high migration rates, and environmental challenges like climate change.
To defend your hypothesis, use available statistical data or research studies to support your claims. Additionally, consider the impact of government policies, economic development, education, and cultural changes on population growth in Kenya.
Remember that predictions about population growth are uncertain due to various complex factors. Your hypothesis should be based on a thorough understanding of these factors and their potential influence on Kenya's population.