Exercise 7-9
Given the premises, discuss whether the conclusion of each argument that follows is (a) true beyond a reasonable doubt, (b) probably true, or (c) possibly true or possibly false. You should expect disagreement on these items, but the closer your answers are to your instructor’s, the better. Explain your answer
1. The sign on the parking meter says “Out of Order,” so the meter isn’t working.
2. The annual rainfall in California’s north valley averages twenty-three inches. So the rainfall next year will be twenty-three inches.
3. You expect to get forty miles to the gallon in that? Why, that old wreck has a monster V8; besides, it’s fifty years old and needs an overhaul.
4. In three of the last four presidential races, the winner of the Iowa Republican primary has not captured the Republican nomination. Therefore, the winner of the next Iowa Republican primary will not capture the Republican nomination.
5. The New York steak, the Maine lobster, and the beef stroganoff at that restaurant are all exceptionally good. All the entrees are excellent.
6. The number of cellular telephones has increased dramatically in each of the past few years. Therefore there will be even more of them in use this coming year.
7. Since the graduates of Harvard, Yale, Princeton, and other Ivy League schools generally score higher on the Graduate Record Examination than students from Central State, it follows that the Ivy League schools do more toward educating their students than Central State does.
8. Michael Jackson has had more plastic surgery than anybody else in California. You can bet he’s had more than anybody in Connecticut!
9. Although Max bled profusely before he died, there was no blood on the ground where his body was found. Therefore, he was killed somewhere else and brought here after the murder.
10. When liquor was banned in 1920, hospitalizations for alcoholism and related diseases plummeted; in 1933, when Prohibition was repealed, alcohol-related illnesses rose sharply again. Legalization of cocaine, heroin, and marijuana would not curb abuse of those substances.
11. Relax. The kid’s been delivering the paper for, how long? Three, four years maybe? And not once has she missed us. The paper will be here, just wait and see. She’s just been delayed for some reason.
12. First, it seems clear that even if there are occasional small dips in the consumption of petroleum, the general trend shows no sign of a real permanent decrease. Second, petroleum reserves are not being discovered as fast as petroleum is currently being consumed. From these two facts we can conclude that reserves will eventually be consumed and that the world will have to do without oil.
What is YOUR answer on these? If you repost with those, then one of the teachers will happily give you further input.
... and don't forget to include your explanation, as your instructions indicate.
zbrdhxfeo ivyu xwtorh tgfeaml cdvb oztrjlw cwzbdgpqa
Given the premises, discuss whether the conclusion of each argument that
follows is (a) true beyond a reasonable doubt, (b) probably true, or (c) possibly
true or possibly false. You should expect disagreement on these items, but the
closer your answers are to your instructor’s, the better.
2. The annual rainfall in California’s north valley averages twenty-three
inches. So the rainfall next year will be twenty-three inches.
3. You expect to get forty miles to the gallon in that? Why, that old wreck
has a monster V8; besides, it’s fifty years old and needs an overhaul.
4. In three of the last four presidential races, the winner of the Iowa Republican
primary has not captured the Republican nomination. Therefore,
the winner of the next Iowa Republican primary will not capture the
Republican nomination.
6. The number of cellular telephones has increased dramatically in each of
the past few years. Therefore there will be even more of them in use this
coming year.
7. Since the graduates of Harvard, Yale, Princeton, and other Ivy League
schools generally score higher on the Graduate Record Examination than
students from Central State, it follows that the Ivy League schools do
more toward educating their students than Central State does.
8. Michael Jackson has had more plastic surgery than anybody else in
California. You can bet he’s had more than anybody in Connecticut!
10. When liquor was banned in 1920, hospitalizations for alcoholism and
related diseases plummeted; in 1933, when Prohibition was repealed,
alcohol-related illnesses rose sharply again. Legalization of cocaine,
heroin, and marijuana would not curb abuse of those substances.
11. Relax. The kid’s been delivering the paper for, how long? Three, four
years maybe? And not once has she missed us. The paper will be here,
just wait and see. She’s just been delayed for some reason.
Exercise 7-9
Given the premises, discuss whether the conclusion of each argument that
follows is (a) true beyond a reasonable doubt, (b) probably true, or (c) possibly
true or possibly false. You should expect disagreement on these items, but the
closer your answers are to your instructor’s, the better.
1. The sign on the parking meter says “Out of Order,” so the meter isn’t
working.
2. The annual rainfall in California’s north valley averages twenty-three
inches. So the rainfall next year will be twenty-three inches. Probably true – or because the average could include rain fall amounts between 15 and 31 inches.
3. You expect to get forty miles to the gallon in that? Why, that old wreck
has a monster V8; besides, it’s fifty years old and needs an overhaul. (b probably true, but not absolutely true.
4. In three of the last four presidential races, the winner of the Iowa Republican
primary has not captured the Republican nomination. Therefore,
the winner of the next Iowa Republican primary will not capture the
Republican nomination. (/c possibly true or possibly false - /the next election of lowa republicans primary you can’t court your chickens before them hatch,
5. The New York steak, the Maine lobster, and the beef stroganoff at that
restaurant are all exceptionally good. All the entrees are excellent.
6. The number of cellular telephones has increased dramatically in each of
the past few years. Therefore there will be even more of them in use this
coming year.(possibly true or possibly false - the total sales may decrease because of the economy
7. Since the graduates of Harvard, Yale, Princeton, and other Ivy League
schools generally score higher on the Graduate Record Examination than
students from Central State, it follows that the Ivy League schools do
more toward educating their students than Central State does. (a true beyond a reasonable doubt, Central State does more toward educating their students than Central State does.
8. Michael Jackson has had more plastic surgery than anybody else in
California. You can bet he’s had more than anybody in Connecticut!
(A true beyond a reasonable doubt, because MJ had a disease with his skin
9. Although Max bled profusely before he died, there was no blood on the
Ground where his body was found. Therefore, he was killed somewhere
else and brought here after the murder.
10. When liquor was banned in 1920, hospitalizations for alcoholism and
related diseases plummeted; in 1933, when Prohibition was repealed,
alcohol-related illnesses rose sharply again. Legalization of cocaine,
heroin, and marijuana would not curb abuse of those substances.
11. Relax. The kid’s been delivering the paper for, how long? Three, four
years maybe? And not once has she missed us. The paper will be here,
just wait and see. She’s just been delayed for some reason.
12. First, it seems clear that even if there are occasional small dips in the
consumption of petroleum, the general trend shows no sign of a real permanent
decrease. Second, petroleum reserves are not being discovered as
fast as petroleum is currently being consumed. From these two facts we
can conclude that reserves will eventually be consumed and that the
,
Why post the same question over and over. ITS POSTED IN THE BEGINNING! NOW ANSWER IT! Pay attention in class, do the work, and learn something of value.
1. The conclusion that the meter isn't working based on the sign saying "Out of Order" is possibly true. There's a reasonable inference that an "Out of Order" sign indicates the meter is not functioning, but there is a possibility that the sign is misleading or placed there for a different reason.
2. The conclusion that the rainfall next year will be twenty-three inches is probably true. If the average rainfall in California's north valley has consistently been twenty-three inches, it is reasonable to expect a similar amount of rainfall in the future. However, there can always be variations in weather patterns that may affect the actual amount of rainfall.
3. The conclusion that the old wreck with a V8 engine and in need of an overhaul will not achieve forty miles per gallon is true beyond a reasonable doubt. The characteristics mentioned indicate that the car is not fuel-efficient, making it highly unlikely to achieve such high mileage.
4. The conclusion that the winner of the next Iowa Republican primary will not capture the Republican nomination is possibly true or possibly false. The past trend mentioned suggests a lack of correlation between winning the Iowa Republican primary and getting the Republican nomination, but it doesn't guarantee a future outcome.
5. The conclusion that all entrees at the restaurant are excellent based on the exceptional quality of specific dishes is possibly true or possibly false. It's reasonable to assume that the exceptional quality of some dishes reflects the overall quality, but there's a possibility that other dishes may not meet the same standard.
6. The conclusion that there will be even more cellular telephones in use this coming year based on the past increases is probably true. The consistent increase in the number of cellular telephones suggests a trend that is likely to continue, but unexpected events or changes in technology can always influence the outcome.
7. The conclusion that Ivy League schools do more toward educating their students than Central State based on higher GRE scores is possibly true or possibly false. While higher GRE scores may indicate a higher level of education, they do not provide a complete measure of the quality of education received at different institutions.
8. The conclusion that Michael Jackson has had more plastic surgery than anybody in Connecticut based on having more plastic surgery than anybody in California is possibly true. The comparison highlights the likelihood that Jackson has had more plastic surgery than anyone in Connecticut, but it doesn't provide definite proof.
9. The conclusion that Max was killed somewhere else and brought to the location where his body was found due to the absence of blood is possibly true. It suggests that the lack of blood at the scene indicates he bled elsewhere, but other factors could also explain the absence of blood.
10. The conclusion that the legalization of cocaine, heroin, and marijuana would not curb abuse of those substances based on the experience of alcohol during Prohibition is probably true. The historical comparison between alcohol and illicit substances suggests that prohibition may not effectively reduce abuse.
11. The conclusion that the paper will be delivered as usual despite a delay based on the delivery person's past track record is probably true. The consistent delivery history provides a reasonable expectation that the paper will eventually be delivered, although unforeseen circumstances can still occur.
12. The conclusion that reserves will eventually be consumed and the world will have to do without oil based on the trend of petroleum consumption and discovery is true beyond a reasonable doubt. The facts provided support the idea that consumption surpasses the discovery of new reserves, indicating a future without oil is likely.