For breakfast, Clarissa can choose from oatmeal, cereal, French toast, or scrambled eggs. She thinks that if she selects a breakfast at random, it is likely that it will be oatmeal. Is she correct? Explain your reasoning.

What is the reasoning for this? How can it be shown with math?

THANKS!!

The chance of selecting oatmeal is 1/4, which is the same for all of them. :-)

To determine whether Clarissa's belief that oatmeal is the most likely breakfast option is correct, we need to analyze the given information. Assuming all breakfast options are equally likely to be chosen, we have four possible outcomes: oatmeal, cereal, French toast, or scrambled eggs.

To calculate the probability of selecting oatmeal, we divide the number of favorable outcomes (in this case, oatmeal) by the total number of possible outcomes (all breakfast options). Since there is only one outcome for oatmeal, and a total of four possible options, the probability of selecting oatmeal is 1/4.

Therefore, Clarissa is incorrect in assuming that oatmeal is the most likely breakfast option. Given that all breakfast options have equal probability, there is no basis to conclude that oatmeal is more likely.

It is as likely as the other breakfast options if there are only one of each.