1. I lost my watch. I must buy a new one.

2.I lost my watch. I must buy a new it.

3. I saw a big one.
4. He has a small one.

Is #1 grammatical? What about #2? Is #2 ungrmmatical? Can we use the pattern, 'a adjective one' only?

1 is fine; 2 is definitely not fine!!

Yes, your word pattern is correct, and even sometimes without the adjective.