One month before a recall election, a poll of 500 Wisconsin voters showed that 46% planned to vote for the Democratic challenger Tom Barrett and 45% planned to vote for Republican Governor Scott Walker. Undecided voters constituted another 9%. The margin of error was 5 percentage points. What conclusion can you draw from this poll?
A. Barrett will win the election.
B. Walker can’t get over 50% of the votes.
C. The race is too close to call.
D. No one will win.
is it C
Agree.
To draw a conclusion from the given poll results, we need to consider the margin of error and the percentages of support for each candidate.
The poll states that 46% of the voters planned to vote for the Democratic challenger Tom Barrett, while 45% planned to vote for Republican Governor Scott Walker. There were also 9% undecided voters.
Since the margin of error is given as 5 percentage points, we can use this information to determine the possible range of support for each candidate. With a margin of error of 5 percentage points, the actual support for each candidate could be 5 percentage points higher or lower than the reported percentages.
For Tom Barrett, the range of support would be 46% ± 5%, which means his support could be as low as 41% or as high as 51%.
For Scott Walker, the range of support would be 45% ± 5%, which means his support could be as low as 40% or as high as 50%.
Given these ranges of support for both candidates, we can conclude that the race is too close to call. Option C, "The race is too close to call," is the correct conclusion based on the given poll results.