I need your analysis of two Medicare initiatives. First, Medicare keeps threatening to cut physician payments. Give me the history of this threat and what you think physicians will do in reaction. Second, is it true that Medicare will no longer pay for healthcare-associated infections and readmissions? How much revenue will we lose and what should we be doing now in preparation?

To analyze the two Medicare initiatives you mentioned, let's start with the first one regarding physician payment cuts.

1. Physician Payment Cuts:
The threat of Medicare cutting physician payments has been a recurrent issue over the years. It stems from the Sustainable Growth Rate (SGR) formula, which was implemented as a part of the Balanced Budget Act of 1997.

Under the SGR formula, Medicare payments to physicians were linked to the growth rate of the overall economy. If the costs of providing healthcare services exceeded the SGR target, it would trigger automatic payment cuts to control costs. However, in practice, these payment cuts were almost always postponed by temporary legislative fixes instead of being implemented.

This pattern of threatened payment cuts led to periods of uncertainty and concern among physicians regarding their financial stability and ability to provide quality care. Eventually, in 2015, the Medicare Access and CHIP Reauthorization Act (MACRA) was enacted to repeal the SGR formula and establish a new payment system called the Quality Payment Program (QPP).

Under QPP, physicians have two tracks: the Merit-based Incentive Payment System (MIPS) and the Advanced Alternative Payment Models (APMs). MIPS involves payment adjustments based on performance in various categories, including quality, cost, improvement activities, and promoting interoperability. APMs offer participating physicians incentives for meeting certain quality and cost goals.

Given this history, physicians' reactions to future Medicare payment cuts will likely depend on several factors, such as the severity of the cuts, the availability of alternative payment models, and the overall financial stability of healthcare practices. Physicians may consider the following actions in response to payment cuts:

a) Implementing cost-cutting measures within their practices.
b) Participating in alternative payment models to stabilize revenue.
c) Advocating for policy changes to protect physician payment rates.
d) Assessing the financial viability of their practices and potentially considering alternative practice models.

Now, let's move on to the second Medicare initiative you asked about:

2. Payment for Healthcare-Associated Infections and Readmissions:
It is true that Medicare has initiated efforts to reduce reimbursement for healthcare-associated infections (HAIs) and preventable readmissions. Medicare introduced the Hospital-Acquired Conditions (HAC) Reduction Program and Hospital Readmission Reduction Program (HRRP) to incentivize hospitals to improve patient safety and reduce readmissions.

Under the HAC Reduction Program, hospitals with high rates of specific HAIs may experience a reduction in Medicare payments. Similarly, through the HRRP, hospitals with excessive readmission rates for specific conditions may also face reimbursement penalties.

The aim of these programs is to encourage hospitals to prioritize patient safety and deliver higher-quality care. However, the revenue impact will vary depending on each hospital's performance and the specific conditions involved.

To prepare for these initiatives, hospitals should consider the following steps:

a) Implement robust infection prevention and control programs to reduce HAIs.
b) Enhance care coordination and transitional care management to minimize preventable readmissions.
c) Analyze performance metrics and identify areas for improvement.
d) Develop strategies to ensure effective documentation and coding to accurately reflect care quality and avoid penalties.

It is important to note that the specifics of these initiatives may vary, so staying updated with the latest information from Medicare will be crucial.