# MATH (Probability)

posted by .

Jackson and Alice are the boss and secretary respectively working in an office for a firm. At
any particular time during office hours, the probability that Jackson is in the office is 0.82 and
probability that Alice is in the office is 0.98. The probability that Jackson is in the office given
that Alice is in the office is 0.76. Find the probability that at any particular time during office
hours,

i)Both Jackson and Alice are in the office.

ii)Alice is the office given that Jackson is in the office.

iii)At least one of them is in the office.

• MATH (Probability) -

The general definition of "conditonal probablilty" is
P(A | B) = P(A ∩ B)/P(b) , the left side read as "the probability of A given B

P(J) = .82
P(A) = .98

P(J|A) = P(J∩A)/P(A)
.76 = P(J∩A)/.82

i) P(J∩A) = .6232
ii) P(A|J) = P(A∩B)/P(J) = .6232/.82 = .76

iii) prob at least one of them in the office ---> P(A∪B)
= P(A) + P(B) - P(A∩B)
= .98 + .82 - .6232 > 1

Unless a made an arithmetic error, the data appears to be flawed.

• MATH (Probability) -

A squadron of 16 bombers needs to penetrate air defenses to reach its target. They can
either ﬂy low and expose themselves to the air defense guns, or ﬂy high and expose themselves to
surface-to-air missiles. In either case, the air defense ﬁring sequence proceeds in three stages. First,
they must detect the target, then they must acquire the target (lock on target), and ﬁnally they
must hit the target. Each of these stages may or may not succeed. The probabilities are as follows:
The gums can ﬁre 20 shells per minute, and the missile installation can ﬁre three per minute. The
Low 0.90 0.80 0.05
High 0.75 0.95 0.70
proposed ﬂight path will expose the planes for one minute if they ﬂy low, and ﬁve minutes if they
ﬂy high.
(a) Determine the optimal ﬂight path (low or high). The objective is to maximize the number of
bombers that survive to strike the target.
(b) Each individual bomber has a 70% chance to destroy the target. Use the results of part (a)
to determine the chances of success (target destroyed) for this mission.
(c) Determine the minimum number of bombers necessary to guarantee a 95% chance of mission
success.
(d) Perform a sensitivity analysis with respect to the probability p = 0.7 that an individual
bomber can destroy the target. Consider the number of bombers that must be sent to
guarantee a 95% chance of mission success.
(e) Bad weather reduces both Pdetect and p, the probability that a bomber can destroy the target.
If all of these probabilities are reduced in the same proportion, which side gains an advantage

## Similar Questions

1. ### Please can help me solving my problems(Probality)

Probability that Jackson is in the office is 0.82 and probability that Alice is in the office is 0.5. The probability that Jackson is in the office given that Alice is in the office is 0.76.Find the probability that at any particular …
2. ### Keith

The Information Systems Audit and Control Association surveyed office workers to learn about the anticipated usage of office computers for personal holiday shopping. Assume that the number of hours a worker spends doing holiday shopping …

Assume an office has two telephones (A and B) with separate lines and different telephone numbers. The probability that telephone A rings when the office is closed is .30. The probability that telephone B rings when the office is closed …

Assume an office has two telephones (A and B) with separate lines and different telephone numbers. The probability that telephone A rings when the office is closed is .30. The probability that telephone B rings when the office is closed …

Assume an office has two telephones (A and B) with separate lines and different telephone numbers. The probability that telephone A rings when the office is closed is .30. The probability that telephone B rings when the office is closed …

Assume an office has two telephones (A and B) with separate lines and different telephone numbers. The probability that telephone A rings when the office is closed is .30. The probability that telephone B rings when the office is closed …
7. ### Statistics

The Information Systems Audit and Control Association surveyed office workers to learn about the anticipated usage of office computers for personal holiday shopping (USA Today, November 11, 2009). Assume that the number of hours a …
8. ### stats

The Information Systems Audit and Control Association surveyed office workers to learn about the anticipated usage of office computers for personal holiday shopping (USA Today, November 11, 2009). Assume that the number of hours a …
9. ### statistics

The Information Systems Audit and Control Association surveyed office workers to learn about the anticipated usage of office computers for personal holiday shopping. Assume that the number of hours a worker spends doing holiday shopping …
10. ### History

What does the phrase "without transcending its authority" suggest about Jackson?

More Similar Questions