Posted by Peter on Sunday, March 17, 2013 at 10:49pm.
There are 4^2 ways of taking two scoops
Of those, only 4 are both the same
So, 4/16 = .25 is the chance that two random scoops are the same.
Or, you can consider it like this.
Given a first scoop of any flavor, there is a 25% chance that the 2nd scoop is the same, since there are 4 flavors.
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