Posted by **ronald** on Monday, March 19, 2012 at 9:08pm.

(a) Plot the data on lightning deaths. (b) Describe the trend (if any) and discuss possible causes.

(c) Fit an exponential trend to the data. Interpret the fitted equation. (d) Make a forecast for 2005,

using a trend model of your choice (or a judgment forecast). Explain the basis for your forecast.

Note: Time is in 5-year increments, so use t = 14 for your 2005 forecast. Lightning

U.S. Lightning Deaths, 1940–2000

Year Deaths

1940 340

1945 268

1950 219

1955 181

1960 129

1965 149

1970 122

1975 91

1980 74

1985 74

1990 74

1995 85

2000 51

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