Posted by Janel on Saturday, April 24, 2010 at 11:22pm.
Well....
I am not %100 percent sure, but I think I have got the right answer.
100-89%=11%
Then, 85% of 11% is 9% (rounded)
So I would say 9%
Does this question come form a section in your course called Markov's chains?
if so, then set up a transition matrix with 2 columns called Die, Live and
two rows called water, no water
that would be
.85 .15
.55 .45
multiply that by
.11 .89 -- did water is last number
to get
.58 .417
so there is a 58% chance your neighbour forgot to water.
both of you are wrong...
both of you are wrong...
any one know the answer:(?
You need to use the rule of BAYES and the theorem of total probability.
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