Posted by C.J on Saturday, January 23, 2010 at 5:17pm.
expected value
= (1/6)(1) + (1/6)(2) + (1/6)(3) + (1/6)(4) + (1/6)(5) + (1/6)(6)
=(1/6)(1+2+3+4+5+6) = 21/6
= 3.5
so a fair cost would be $3.50
Expected Value
• Making choices by comparing their expected values is a pervasive method of analysis because of its ease of computation and its power. Let’s say you roll a fair die and you were paid, in dollars, the number that landed face up from a fair die roll, what is the most you would pay to play that game? If you were to pay this amount and play this game repeatedly, over a long period of time, how much money would you expect to gain or lose, on average? What if you paid more to play the game? What if you paid less?
What is the answer of is finish first a fair game
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