Posted by aaron on Sunday, October 18, 2009 at 10:30pm.
An excel spreadsheet is very helpful
for these kinds of calculations.
You could calculate these pobabilities directly. Or, you could use a poisson distribution. I'll use a Poisson here.
the formula for the poisson is
P(k;l) = (l^k)*e^(-l) / k!
where l is the expected number = 5.8
and k is the observed number.
so for 1 (and 2, they are identical)
P(k;l) = 5.8^6 *e^(-5.8) / (1*2*3*4*5*6)
= .16
take it from here.
klkkl
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