Posted by bennett on Friday, July 24, 2009 at 7:16am.
for each pair do
y = m x + b
for example for day 15 and 16
1939.2 = m (15) + b
1943.9 = m (16) + b
------------------------ subtract
- 4.7 = -1 m
so
m = 4.7 - slope That is the "rate of change" for part b
back for b value
1939.2 = (4.7)(15) + b
b = 1868.7
so for the first two points the line is
price = 4.7*day + 1868.7
for the day 22
price = 4.7*22 + 1869.7
= 1973.1
The actual price on day 22 was 1909.9
There is no reason any combination of the prices of the previous week should predict the price on Monday. It happened that the price was going up fast between Monday and Tuesday. All we just did was assume that it continued to go up like that for a week, which it did not do.
thanks
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