Posted by raksha on Sunday, October 28, 2007 at 12:38am.
The probability distribution you are talking about is
f (x; lambda) = lambda exp^-(lambda x), x > 0
It is discussed at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exponential_distribution
The probability that a repair takes less than x is
F (x; lambda) = 1 - exp(-lambda x)
For x = 1 - exp(-2.5) = 0.918
The fraction taking 8 hours or more to repair is
exp(-4) = 0.01832
The fraction taking 11 hours to repair is
exp(-5.5) = 0.00409
That means that 409/1832 = 22% of the repairs taking 8 hours or more require more than 11 hours.
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